Middle East
Where Does Iran's Hope for Victory Lie
Seetao 2026-03-02 15:14
  • For Iran to achieve victory, it would require an unlimited increase in the war costs for the United States and Israel.
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During decades of blockade, Iran has built a relatively complete industrial system, manufacturing and repairing its own drones, centrifuges, etc., demonstrating extremely high industrial resilience. For Iran to win, it needs to infinitely push up the war costs for the US and Israel.

伊朗测试最新型先进核离心机

Trump's administration is accustomed to achieving the most with the least amount of money. Iran's saturation harassment, the Strait of Hormuz blockade, and Houthi harassment will infinitely increase the risks for global energy companies, raise oil prices, keep the US national debt at $34 trillion, force interest rates to remain high, increase the possibility of fiscal collapse, cause inflation to soar, and rapidly increase the cost of living for voters, potentially ruining Trump's midterm election chances.

美国航母逼近中东,日内瓦会谈结束,伊朗问题谈判未取得突破。 - AL-Monitor: The Middle Eastʼs leading  independent news source since 2012

If a swift victory cannot be achieved, and the conflict drags on, the US faces a predicament no less severe than Iran's. When this businessman realizes that the benefits of attacking Iran far outweigh the risks, the tide of war will turn.Editor/Cao Tianyi

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